With only one day until the election, it seems Kansas will be an easy win for McCain. The six electoral votes should be a giveaway tomorrow for the GOP candidate.
Although Obama has outspent McCain on advertisements in Kansas, McCain has raised more money here. CNN reports McCain raising $1,103,334 in Kansas and Obama raising $877,723. A great indicator of how people vote is who they spend their money on, and in Kansas that shows McCain as the clear favorite.
The latest polls also show McCain with a large lead. The most recent SurveyUSA poll from October 28-29 reports McCain at 58% and Obama at 37%, giving McCain a 21 point lead in Kansas. Even with the margin of error, McCain should still easily win.
With one day to go I am calling Kansas for McCain.
Monday, November 3, 2008
Thursday, October 23, 2008
10 Days to Go
With 10 days to go until the election, it's time to make another call for Kansas. Not much has changed for Kansas in the last couple months, and it looks like an easy win for McCain.
Current polling has McCain consistently favored over Obama. The most recent SurveyUSA poll reports McCain to have a 12 point lead with 53%, as compared to Obama at 41%. A Rasmussen poll gives McCain a 13 point lead and reports 54% to 41%. These 10-15 point leads in the polls for McCain have been the trend in Kansas for a few months now.
Kansas has voted Republican in all but one election in the last 60 years and generally favors the Republican stance on key issues. Right now the economy and tax policy are the major issues, and Kansas citizens support McCain on these issues.
The Senate race between Roberts and Slattery continues to play a minimal role, and Roberts (R) leads the polls by 20 points or more.
For these reasons, I believe Kansas will strongly favor McCain in the election.
Current polling has McCain consistently favored over Obama. The most recent SurveyUSA poll reports McCain to have a 12 point lead with 53%, as compared to Obama at 41%. A Rasmussen poll gives McCain a 13 point lead and reports 54% to 41%. These 10-15 point leads in the polls for McCain have been the trend in Kansas for a few months now.
Kansas has voted Republican in all but one election in the last 60 years and generally favors the Republican stance on key issues. Right now the economy and tax policy are the major issues, and Kansas citizens support McCain on these issues.
The Senate race between Roberts and Slattery continues to play a minimal role, and Roberts (R) leads the polls by 20 points or more.
For these reasons, I believe Kansas will strongly favor McCain in the election.
Sunday, October 19, 2008
Voting Statistics
The last day to register to vote in Kansas is tomorrow, October 20. Early voting will begin Tuesday October 21 and continue through noon on November 3. For more information on voting click here.
A record number of 1.29 million people are predicted to vote in the November election, about 76% of registered voters in the state. Kansas Secretary of State Ron Thornburgh credits this rise to an exciting race and extensive get-out-the vote efforts.
Statewide there are currently 779,687 registerd Republicans, 453, 039 resistered Democrats, and 9, 399 registered Independents. The Lawrence Journal World&News reports 66.7% of registered voters casting a ballot in the previous election and 1,687,896 registered voters in Kansas as of last Thursday.
A record number of 1.29 million people are predicted to vote in the November election, about 76% of registered voters in the state. Kansas Secretary of State Ron Thornburgh credits this rise to an exciting race and extensive get-out-the vote efforts.
Statewide there are currently 779,687 registerd Republicans, 453, 039 resistered Democrats, and 9, 399 registered Independents. The Lawrence Journal World&News reports 66.7% of registered voters casting a ballot in the previous election and 1,687,896 registered voters in Kansas as of last Thursday.
Thursday, September 18, 2008
Sebelius Speaks Out
What does is mean for Kansas Governor Kathleen Sebelius to speak out against McCain in a mostly Republican state? Apparently, not much.
On Wednesday Sebelius stated on her tour through Wausau that Obama was the only candidate who could navigate throught the tough economic times. Sebelius also stated that because Obama was partly raised by his grandparents in Kansas, he understands regular people.
Republican officials in the state responded by critizing Obama's lack of experience. Read the full article here.
So can one Democratic governor play any part in this state? The polls still show McCain as heavily favored, the latest American Research Group poll has McCain at 63% and Obama at 31%. Sebelius was on Obama's short list for VP which might have caused more stir in Kansas, but for now it seems her popularity won't have much influence in this predominantly red state.
On Wednesday Sebelius stated on her tour through Wausau that Obama was the only candidate who could navigate throught the tough economic times. Sebelius also stated that because Obama was partly raised by his grandparents in Kansas, he understands regular people.
Republican officials in the state responded by critizing Obama's lack of experience. Read the full article here.
So can one Democratic governor play any part in this state? The polls still show McCain as heavily favored, the latest American Research Group poll has McCain at 63% and Obama at 31%. Sebelius was on Obama's short list for VP which might have caused more stir in Kansas, but for now it seems her popularity won't have much influence in this predominantly red state.
Sunday, September 14, 2008
50 Days To Go
With 50 days to go, Kansas strongly favors McCain.
Here are the facts.Current polling has McCain favored at 55.6% to Obama's 37.1%. The most recent SurveyUSA poll showed 58% of the polled 900 people in favor of McCain and 35% in favor of Obama.
In the last 60 years, Kansas has only voted Democratic in a presidential election once when they slightly favored Lyndon Johnson. In 1992 Bush receieved 38.9% of the vote, Clinton had 33.7% and Perot recieved 27% of the vote. In the 1996 election Dole had 54.29%, Clinton recieved 36.08% and Perot recieved 8.62% of the vote. In 2000 Bush took Kansas with 58% of the vote compared to Gore's 37% and Nadar's 3%. In the past election Bush received 62%, Kerry took 37% and Nader took 1%.
Key issues in Kansas generally include abortion, gun control, taxation and education. The current governor, Kathleen Sebelius, is a democrat that favors abortion rights, no tax increases and favors banning concealed weapons. Click here for a full profile of Sebelius.
Currently, the other races in Kansas are not playing a major part in the presidential election. Polls show Republican Pat Roberts leading the Senate race with 58% to Democrat Jim Slattery's 31%.
Here are the facts.Current polling has McCain favored at 55.6% to Obama's 37.1%. The most recent SurveyUSA poll showed 58% of the polled 900 people in favor of McCain and 35% in favor of Obama.
In the last 60 years, Kansas has only voted Democratic in a presidential election once when they slightly favored Lyndon Johnson. In 1992 Bush receieved 38.9% of the vote, Clinton had 33.7% and Perot recieved 27% of the vote. In the 1996 election Dole had 54.29%, Clinton recieved 36.08% and Perot recieved 8.62% of the vote. In 2000 Bush took Kansas with 58% of the vote compared to Gore's 37% and Nadar's 3%. In the past election Bush received 62%, Kerry took 37% and Nader took 1%.
Key issues in Kansas generally include abortion, gun control, taxation and education. The current governor, Kathleen Sebelius, is a democrat that favors abortion rights, no tax increases and favors banning concealed weapons. Click here for a full profile of Sebelius.
Currently, the other races in Kansas are not playing a major part in the presidential election. Polls show Republican Pat Roberts leading the Senate race with 58% to Democrat Jim Slattery's 31%.
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